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 trend analysis


Unsupervised Anomaly Detection Using Diffusion Trend Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conventional anomaly detection techniques based on reconstruction via denoising diffusion model are widely used due to their ability to identify anomaly locations and shapes with high performance. However, there is a limitation in determining appropriate noise parameters that can degrade anomalies while preserving normal characteristics. Also, due to the volatility of the diffusion model, normal regions can fluctuate considerably during reconstruction, resulting in false detection. In this paper, we propose a method to detect anomalies by analysis of reconstruction trend depending on the degree of degradation, effectively solving the both problems of existing methods. The proposed method is validated on an open dataset for industrial anomaly detection, improving the performance of existing methods on a number of evaluation criteria. With the ease of combination with existing anomaly detection methods, it provides a tradeoff between computational cost and performance, allowing it high application potential in manufacturing industry.


Parallel-friendly Spatio-Temporal Graph Learning for Photovoltaic Degradation Analysis at Scale

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network empowered trend analysis approach (ST-GTrend) to perform fleet-level performance degradation analysis for Photovoltaic (PV) power networks. PV power stations have become an integral component to the global sustainable energy production landscape. Accurately estimating the performance of PV systems is critical to their feasibility as a power generation technology and as a financial asset. One of the most challenging problems in assessing the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of a PV system is to understand and estimate the long-term Performance Loss Rate (PLR) for large fleets of PV inverters. ST-GTrend integrates spatio-temporal coherence and graph attention to separate PLR as a long-term "aging" trend from multiple fluctuation terms in the PV input data. To cope with diverse degradation patterns in timeseries, ST-GTrend adopts a paralleled graph autoencoder array to extract aging and fluctuation terms simultaneously. ST-GTrend imposes flatness and smoothness regularization to ensure the disentanglement between aging and fluctuation. To scale the analysis to large PV systems, we also introduce Para-GTrend, a parallel algorithm to accelerate the training and inference of ST-GTrend. We have evaluated ST-GTrend on three large-scale PV datasets, spanning a time period of 10 years. Our results show that ST-GTrend reduces Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) and Euclidean Distances by 34.74% and 33.66% compared to the SOTA methods. Our results demonstrate that Para-GTrend can speed up ST-GTrend by up to 7.92 times. We further verify the generality and effectiveness of ST-GTrend for trend analysis using financial and economic datasets.


LSTM Network Analysis of Vehicle-Type Fatalities on Great Britain's Roads

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study harnesses the predictive capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to analyse and predict road traffic accidents in Great Britain. It addresses the challenge of traffic accident forecasting, which is paramount for devising effective preventive measures. We utilised an extensive dataset encompassing reported collisions, casualties, and vehicles involvements from 1926 to 2022, provided by the Department for Transport (DfT). The data underwent stringent processing to rectify missing values and normalise features, ensuring robust LSTM network input.


Routine Outcome Monitoring in Psychotherapy Treatment using Sentiment-Topic Modelling Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite the importance of emphasizing the right psychotherapy treatment for an individual patient, assessing the outcome of the therapy session is equally crucial. Evidence showed that continuous monitoring patient's progress can significantly improve the therapy outcomes to an expected change. By monitoring the outcome, the patient's progress can be tracked closely to help clinicians identify patients who are not progressing in the treatment. These monitoring can help the clinician to consider any necessary actions for the patient's treatment as early as possible, e.g., recommend different types of treatment, or adjust the style of approach. Currently, the evaluation system is based on the clinical-rated and self-report questionnaires that measure patients' progress pre- and post-treatment. While outcome monitoring tends to improve the therapy outcomes, however, there are many challenges in the current method, e.g. time and financial burden for administering questionnaires, scoring and analysing the results. Therefore, a computational method for measuring and monitoring patient progress over the course of treatment is needed, in order to enhance the likelihood of positive treatment outcome. Moreover, this computational method could potentially lead to an inexpensive monitoring tool to evaluate patients' progress in clinical care that could be administered by a wider range of health-care professionals.


Knowledge Graph Induction enabling Recommending and Trend Analysis: A Corporate Research Community Use Case

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A research division plays an important role of driving innovation in an organization. Drawing insights, following trends, keeping abreast of new research, and formulating strategies are increasingly becoming more challenging for both researchers and executives as the amount of information grows in both velocity and volume. In this paper we present a use case of how a corporate research community, IBM Research, utilizes Semantic Web technologies to induce a unified Knowledge Graph from both structured and textual data obtained by integrating various applications used by the community related to research projects, academic papers, datasets, achievements and recognition. In order to make the Knowledge Graph more accessible to application developers, we identified a set of common patterns for exploiting the induced knowledge and exposed them as APIs. Those patterns were born out of user research which identified the most valuable use cases or user pain points to be alleviated. We outline two distinct scenarios: recommendation and analytics for business use. We will discuss these scenarios in detail and provide an empirical evaluation on entity recommendation specifically. The methodology used and the lessons learned from this work can be applied to other organizations facing similar challenges.


Trend analysis and forecasting air pollution in Rwanda

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Air pollution is a major public health problem worldwide although the lack of data is a global issue for most low and middle income countries. Ambient air pollution in the form of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exceeds the World Health Organization guidelines in Rwanda with a daily average of around 42.6 microgram per meter cube. Monitoring and mitigation strategies require an expensive investment in equipment to collect pollution data. Low-cost sensor technology and machine learning methods have appeared as an alternative solution to get reliable information for decision making. This paper analyzes the trend of air pollution in Rwanda and proposes forecasting models suitable to data collected by a network of low-cost sensors deployed in Rwanda.


GitHub - nishnash54/RecOmax---Recommendation-Platform: P&G Hack - Recommendation platform

#artificialintelligence

If you don't want to run the scripts, the same are available on the Demo website In today's world, data analysis coupled with the power of Machine learning and Artificial intelligence (deep learning) is helping companies solve the most complex of problems. We designed RecOmax as a ready to use platform that will help P&G predict sales of a specific item in a specific store based on historical sales data and complex trend analysis. We aim to build end to end solutions that benefit the client and provide them an edge over their competitors. The build can be divided into 3 main sections. These are the Recommendation engine, the Prediction engine and the Client facing data dashboard (report).


NLP To Identify Impact Of Pandemic On People's Mental Health

#artificialintelligence

A recent study published by the researchers at MIT and Harvard University used Natural Language Processing (NLP) to monitor the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on people's mental health. Collating Reddit posts of more than 800,000 users from 2018 to 2020, the researchers used various NLP techniques like trend analysis, supervised learning and unsupervised learning to characterise changes in the language used by mental health support groups. The study performed classification among mental health subreddits (forums dedicated to a specific topic on Reddit) as well as non-mental health subreddits and identified important features that help understand how each mental health problem may manifest in language. The trend analysis monitored COVID-19 related tokens (words, characters, or subwords) across subreddits and language features from January to April, to observe patterns. The researchers measured "how much the posts were about COVID-19" compared to the total number of words.


An Improved Approach of Intention Discovery with Machine Learning for POMDP-based Dialogue Management

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An Embodied Conversational Agent (ECA) is an intelligent agent that works as the front end of software applications to interact with users through verbal/nonverbal expressions and to provide online assistance without the limits of time, location, and language. To help to improve the experience of human-computer interaction, there is an increasing need to empower ECA with not only the realistic look of its human counterparts but also a higher level of intelligence. This thesis first highlights the main topics related to the construction of ECA, including different approaches of dialogue management, and then discusses existing techniques of trend analysis for its application in user classification. As a further refinement and enhancement to prior work on ECA, this thesis research proposes a cohesive framework to integrate emotion-based facial animation with improved intention discovery. In addition, a machine learning technique is introduced to support sentiment analysis for the adjustment of policy design in POMDP-based dialogue management. The proposed research work is going to improve the accuracy of intention discovery while reducing the length of dialogues.


Using Artificial Intelligence to Analyze Fashion Trends

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Analyzing fashion trends is essential in the fashion industry. Current fashion forecasting firms, such as WGSN, utilize the visual information from around the world to analyze and predict fashion trends. However, analyzing fashion trends is time-consuming and extremely labor intensive, requiring individual employees' manual editing and classification. To improve the efficiency of data analysis of such image-based information and lower the cost of analyzing fashion images, this study proposes a data-driven quantitative abstracting approach using an artificial intelligence (A.I.) algorithm. Specifically, an A.I. model was trained on fashion images from a large-scale dataset under different scenarios, for example in online stores and street snapshots. This model was used to detect garments and classify clothing attributes such as textures, garment style, and details for runway photos and videos. It was found that the A.I. model can generate rich attribute descriptions of detected regions and accurately bind the garments in the images. Adoption of A.I. algorithm demonstrated promising results and the potential to classify garment types and details automatically, which can make the process of trend forecasting more cost-effective and faster.